West Ham v Arsenal – Compensating for Size with Class

“We have many midfielders. But we don’t have many physical midfielders,” Wenger said, rueing the loss of Diaby to a three week injury. It looked like we would be heading to Upton Park with a smallish, physically vulnerable midfield. Not good against a Sam Allardyce side. But as it turned out, we bossed the game anyway. Saw 69% of the ball, won 21 tackles, and had 21 shots (to West Ham’s 9 attempts).

Well, it wasn’t all smooth sailing. They did beat us 58 – 42 on aerial duels. That’s the key stat that defined the game. All game, but the first half especially, a rejuvinated Andy Carroll won 68% of aerial challenges, even with Mertesacker back in the side. He caused us all sorts of problems and West Ham had a host of half-chances from his knock-downs.

And although some may find it ironic that their only goal came from a sweeping move along the floor, it was Mertesacker’s obsession with Carroll that ultimately gave Diame a clear chance to score.

But generally we dealt well with the aerial barrage. Even if Carroll was winning headers, we were picking up the second balls. And when we won the ball, we didn’t give it away, we made things happen.

Arteta completed 111 passes and made 5 tackles. Even won a 100% of his aerial duels. It was, once again, an all around brilliant performance from him. He had a subdued game against Chelsea, which affected our rhythm, but here a much improved Ramsey (who also made 93 passes) created enough of a distraction to allow Arteta to play his game. And those two together built a great platform for Cazorla, Giroud, and Podolski to create.

Wenger has often been criticized for fielding teams that are too small, too technical for the Premier League. The post-invincibles teams were often considered to be too easily bullied. But in adopting a more technical approach all those years ago, Wenger had the right idea. Technique is more important. But he was never able to execute his plan like Barcelona, whose tiny midfielders dominated Europe under Guardiola, and put to rest the idea that speed and strength were more important than technique.

But in the fast paced, physical Premier League, Wenger has always felt the need for taller, more physically robust players. Sometimes even at the expense of technique, as Alex Song’s continual presence in the side showed. But maybe he underestimated the value a technique a bit. Wenger said he didn’t sign Luka Modric because he was too weak for the Premier League. Over the years, the Croatian has developed into a complete midfielder, strong enough for the Premier League. He may not have had the strongest body, but technique and intelligence, coupled with a fighting spirit, meant he was able to dominate most midfields in England.

With the departure of Song (whether forced or not), Wenger has now a more technically solid midfield. Arteta, Ramsey, and Cazorla are all capable of hogging the ball and creating chances. Without Diaby we may have struggled against West Ham, but Arteta’s intelligence and dogged determination in winning his battles more than made up for his lack of height. The same with Ramsey, who is never shies away from tackles (maybe sometimes he’s actually too eager to dive in). And with Cazorla in front of them, who is always buzzing and harrying defenders, we never looked troubled in midfled.

We don’t have any physical midfielders remaining, but if Wenger puts his faith in technique, we may not need any. It wasn’t a perfect performance from our midfield. At times Ramsey left Arteta too isolated, with a sea of space around him for West Ham to exploit. But with games Ramsey will improve, so will Coquelin. Even if Diaby is continued to be sidelined by injury, our diminutive midfielders will do just fine.

(All stats from the brilliant @Whoscored.com).

 

Arsenal v Chelsea: Wenger’s Selection Error Costs us the Game

Dropping Mertesacker must have been difficult for Arsene, and it was a huge risk, but it made sense tactically. When you have three reliable center halves you can, and you should, rotate when needed. Today, however, the tactical move didn’t work, the risk didn’t pay off as Arsenal produced their worst, most error strewn performance so far this season.

One reason we missed the BFG was that Koscielny looked rusty – not quite match fit yet. He made errors against Man City but you would have thought he’d have got them out of his system with that game. But here he was bullied by Torres for the first goal, then his mistake nearly cost us another. And aside from that there were plenty of rushed, missed tackles on Chelsea’s dribblers that allowed them through.

The other reason was tactical. Before the match Wenger talked about how the new Chelsea don’t have the physical presence of the old side. But he may have underestimated them in that regard. Torres up front bossed Vermaelen and Koscielny physically. Cech’s goal kicks were often easily chested down and this helped Chelsea keep possession in dangerous areas. Compare that to previous games where Mertesacker simply head-passed any goal kicks or long balls to one of our midfielders.

And of course, the set pieces, where Mertesacker’s added height might have made the difference. Diaby’s injury didn’t help either.

And higher up the pitch, after Diaby’s substitution  Ramirez and Mikel overpowered Cazorla and Ramsey. Cazorla in particular had a poor performance by his very high standards. Lost the ball too often and wasn’t able to create any good chances for himself or his teammates.

Speaking of losing the ball, that was a theme of Arsenal’s performance today. Credit must be given to Chelsea as they marked us well in midfield and forced errors, but there were too many unforced ones as well. Players over-elaborating in deep areas, trying the hollywood pass instead of laying it off to an open teammate. We kept the ball so well against City and here, our poor passing and lack of height from goal kicks meant we didn’t enjoy as much possession as we’d have liked. What made things further worse was in Diaby we lost a physical ball winner, and Ramsey’s early yellow meant he couldn’t go in strong in challenges.

On another day it could have been different. We had chances (Giroud, I’m looking at you). But as it stands, a good away result has been marred by errors from players and manager. Home form is crucial in title races, and already we’ve dropped 5 points against Sunderland and Chelsea. If we want to be in the mix come May, we have to improve on that. Especially since we find ourselves 7 points adrift of the leaders already.

Arsenal Make it 9/10, Do Chelsea Stand a Chance At the Ems?

Do they? No.

Looking at the run-in fixtures back in January, I was pretty happy with how things looked. Spurs had a difficult run of games in Ferbruary/March, and while we still had to face City, Chelsea, and Spurs themselves, they were all at home.

And that’s really been the difference this season from last. The Emirates is a fortress. Or at least more of a fortress than it’s ever been in it’s short history. We have not only been winning, we have been almost Barcelona-esque in our dominance of teams. This, I believe, is down to the new atmosphere at the Emirates, borne from the wins against Spurs and Milan.

And it’s a strange sort of dominance. We have pressed extremely well lately, a result of the season long gelling the team has done, and we’ve pushed teams back, forcing them to defend in their own box for most of the 90 minutes.

But we’re not splitting defences and creating a lot of chances. Everything seems to nicely until we get to the edge of the box, and then we’re unable to find that final pass or shot. Rosicky and Arteta have the work rate and maturity to dominate the middle third and push us forward. Benayoun’s inclusion on the left has given us a bit more stability than the erratic Gervinho. But neither of those three can play that precise, threaded through ball that players like Cesc and Silva have made a living on.

Song can play those passes sometimes, but only sometimes. RvP is the only one who can do it consistently but he plays up top, as a #9. He is often the one making the run that the pass needs to pick out. Song has often provided those for him, even in past seasons, but again, Song is a #6 or a #8, never a #10. If he is afforded space deep in midfield, he will make those passes, but when the defences are tight and the pressing against us is good, he doesn’t really have the technique to make those passes.

Maybe this flaw in our game is why we have not quite been able to replicate our form away from home. We aren’t able to have the territorial dominance that we enjoy at home (that is, we aren’t able to camp in our opponents’ halves), and we often have less possession, so our attackers get less chances to try to create something. In the end, we often don’t create that much and end up losing.

So that is something that needs to be addressed in the summer. Maybe Wilshere (or even Diaby or Ramsey) are the answer for next season. For now, we must enjoy this flawed but amazing team as they sweep all that is in front of them.

The latest to be swept were Wolves. At their own ground, too. It was almost like a home game. We had 71% possession. 3 goals scored. 0 against. Sounds like a routine home win.

Now we have just two away games left to play. Stoke and WBA. Those have to be considered our toughest games.

At home we face Wigan, then Chelsea, then Norwich. We will beat them all handily. Chelsea are poor and the way we dominated Man City, you have to say we would absolutely murder the Chavs at the Emirates.

A Look at Arsenal’s Defence: Have We Really Been That Poor?

Right now Arsenal sit 3rd in the league. With a rather poor goal difference of +20. We’ll all agree that this isn’t one of the greatest Arsenal teams in history, having gone through some very poor periods this season.

But it’s become a bit of a cliche that Arsenal are poor defensively. The fact seems to be that Arsenal can’t defend, and they certainly can’t defend a lead. We’re not only bottlers, we’re bottlers who can’t defend. Lee Dixon says it on MOTD every week. It must be true.

I think we’ve had plenty of problems this season, but our biggest problem in my opinion has been lack of true technical ability (apart from RvP) in attack. The lack of creativity and precision in the final third is why Henry was brought in in the first place.

Our defending has certainly been part of the problem (we have the 10th best defence in the league, having allowed 39 goals). But we are not as bad as people make us out to be. We actually have some very, very good defenders at the club, who despite being ridiculed so often have performed better than most in the league. So lack of quality is not the problem in our defensive third. I think that we actually have a good defensive base on which to build a good team next season, but there’s no denying we have, at times, just been bad at defending. Let’s look at the statistics to see what the issues are.

The first thing is home form vs away form. Away from home we have been poor defensively. Languishing in the bottom half of the table with the 7th worst defence in the league with 27 goals allowed. That is 6 goals worse than Aston Villa, the team we completely thrashed on Saturday.

At home we do amazingly well. We are joint second with Liverpool with just 12 goals allowed. That is 5 goals off the leaders Man City.

That makes sense, because our performances at home have been a lot better than our away performances. The Emirates is turning into a real fortress, while away from home we still tend to wobble. And this leads us into the next issue, which is that of our two periods of poor runs. First in the beginning of the season. The second came in January.

In August and September we conceded 14 goals in 6 games. 8 of them coming in the one match at Old Trafford.

In January we allowed 7 goals in 3 games.

In both those periods we allowed goals at a rate of 2.3 goals per game.

The rest of the season we have allowed 18 goals in 21 games, at a rate of 0.85 goals per game.

Now that proves something that I had known was true. We defended badly in August and September because we played poorly overall, because of the state the squad was in early in the season. Wenger did some very late transfer business. By the time it was done we had already had our Old Trafford drubbing. Players like Arteta and Mertesacker came in and needed time to settle into the team. The reason we defended badly in that period was that the team didn’t work well enough as a unit.

Once the team had had time to gel, the performances improved, and we went on a good run in the league. Until January. That was the month of no fullbacks. The lack of fullbacks not only made our attack weaker, it made our defence weaker as well. Vermaelen and Djourou are good center halves but they are not equipped to play in wide defence. When United visited the Emirates, they targeted the flanks, and won the game because of our poor defending in the wide areas.

With the team settled down, and our injury problems eased, I believe we are a very good defensive team. One thing that makes us so good is that we tend to control the games through our possession. Against Villa, for example, we had 73% possession. Barcelona like. And that allowed us to restrict Aston Villa’s attack and keep them to 0 shots on target. But the quality of our defending is such that even without complete control on the game, as was the case against Everton, we still manage to keep our opponents out. Everton, despite their dominance at times, couldn’t create any clear cut chances, and forced Szczesny into just one save.

Conclusion: If we can avoid another turbulent summer, and avoid more injury crises, we should be one of the best defensive teams next season. Boom goes the dynamite.

 

Arsenal Proving the Doubters Wrong

Not much to say about the victory over Aston Villa. It was the comfortable victory that we needed, for the sake of Arsene Wenger’s health. It was what we deserved, too, having dominated Villa completely from the first whistle to the last.

The defenders, again, were crucial. Gibbs and Sagna always pushing forward. Vermaelen and Koscielny, too, joining the attack whenever possible. At times we were a bit gung-ho, and left huge gaps which Aston Villa (and Albrighton) could have done better with.

But I like this ultra-attacking (to use a FIFA term) approach. It doesn’t let our opponents settle. We knew what Aston Villa’s approach would be. And at times we have allowed that approach to work because we’re too slow to get going. The crowd loses it’s voice and the opponents get comfortable and even confident. But against Aston Villa, as has been the case in our recent home games, we attacked with 10 men and left Villa with no answer.

Away from home we will have to be a bit more cautious. Overloading the opponents works well if the other team is sitting back and letting us have the ball, but usually at their own grounds team like to defend higher up and make it difficult to keep the ball. The key against Villa was possession. We had 72% of the ball. Against a team like QPR away from home we can’t expect such emphatic dominance. Especially this season when our away performances have been rather poor at times. But it’s good to see us turning the Emirates into a real fortress.

So now this leaves us with 7 wins from the last 7 games, with 8 more to go. The way we are playing we can expect to win most of the remaining games, especially with our most difficult games, Chelsea and City, both at home. With form and momentum in our favor, we are favorites to finish 3rd. Things can change, as Wenger said, but this team has proven that they have the quality to match the very best teams. If you take out the first 7 games of the season, Arsenal, United, and City would be tied at 51 points at this stage. Worst team under Arsene Wenger?

 

Arsenal 1 – 0 Everton, Ramsey Plays on the Left

So here we are. In 3rd place. A point ahead of The Mighty Totts, and 6 points ahead of Chelsea. Except for the first 15 minutes or so we played like the best team in the world. We were passing and moving the ball so quickly that Everton didn’t know what to do. The rare occasions when Everton did win it, our pressing was so good that they could barely string three passes together, often having to just kick it into the crowd.

But after the goal Moyes yelled at them a lot from the touchline and they started pressing us more intensely, tackling harder, fouling when they had to. Aside from the yelling, Moyes made the tactical switch of pushing Fellaini up into a higher midfield role. Fellaini is a ball-winner. He wins balls. Lots of them. In fact, he is the best tackling midfielder in the EPL. So shifting him up the pitch represented the shift in Everton’s tactics. They were going to try to press us and try to win the ball higher up. It also meant Everton now played a more direct game, looking for Fellaini with long balls that he often won in the air and caused us some problems.

Everton played well, but not well enough to deserve anything from the game. They dulled our attack quite a bit with their pressing and physical play, and they looked quite threatening themselves. However, they managed just 1 shot on target all game. They will rightly complain about the disallowed goal, but after such a lack of end-product to their attack, they have only themselves to blame.

As for Arsenal, it was another hard fought win. Robin van Persie should have doubled the lead a couple of times. Rosicky should have won us a penalty. Another goal would have made things much easier (or much worse if you’re Liverpool), but it wasn’t to be. We had to hang on to our 1 goal lead til the end. Seeing the lack of chances we were creating, Wenger decided to use his subs to bolster our defence. Walcott came off and Ramsey moved to the right to defend against Baines. Djourou came on to help us win some headers. That took care of Everton’s only two real threats – Baines and Fellaini – and we saw the game out quite comfortably. Well, it was quite an unpleasant experience to watch,  but looking back, our defence was hardly troubled. Our back four was immense. Sagna in particular was impressive in the air, winning 14 out of 17 aerial duels.

What was interesting about the setup was Ramsey and Rosicky together. But unlike at Milan, Ramsey played just to the left of Rosicky. Defensively speaking, he was a left winger, but in attack he didn’t play like one. He was very central, and played much like a central midfielder does. He never dribbled with the ball or tried taking players on. It was all about quick pass and move. We were effectively playing with 4 players in the center of the pitch, and I would have expected us to keep the ball a bit better than we did at times. The downside of having Ramsey one flank, rather than a Gervinho or Ox, is that our pace in attack and hence our counter attacking ability is diminished. Walcott remained our only “out-ball” and Everton kept him fouled very well.

Wenger has recently played a midfielder out wide on the left recently, and putting Ramsey there simply continued that trend. I’m not sure if this is a temporary measure until Gervinho has been deemed to have recovered fully from his post-ACN fatigue, or if he wants the benefit of a passer on one flank, which also has the effect of freeing Walcott on the other flank to focus more on his running.

Against Everton neither of those advantages showed. We didn’t keep the ball very well, and Walcott had a relatively quiet game. Ramsey, the make-shift winger, had a mixed game. He passed the ball well enough (81% accuracy) and created two chances, but ultimately the shape we had wasn’t working.

We might have been better off putting Gervinho on for Ramsey earlier in the game. That way we could sit back, soak up Everton’s pressure, and have two pacy wingers to release with long balls. And the added pace of Gervinho might actually have pushed Everton back a bit and eased the pressure on our midfield and defence. That might have been a good decision, I don’t know.

But all that really matters is that we won. 1-0 and 1 point ahead of Spurs.

 

Arsenal 2 – 1 Newcastle: Newcastle Press but Arsenal Dominate

Pardew lined up his side in a 451. To most commentators and pundits this is a negative tactic, but the truth is that that isn’t always the case. Sacrificing a striker for an additional midfielder means you can press the opposition in midfield, disrupt their passing, win the ball early, and even keep it a little better.

With a 442 the usual approach is to sit back and let Arsenal have the ball. This means the team defends deeper, but can play a more direct game with two strikers to aim for. Tottenham tried this very approach at the Emirates.

Perhap’s the Spurs’ miserable failure was why Pardew was keen on matching Arsenal in the middle. Their plan was to let our center halves have the ball, but mark our holding midfielders (Arteta and Song) tightly, not allowing them any space. Vermaelen and Koscielny thus saw a lot of the ball, but their passes often didn’t meet the intended target.

For the opening goal, Newcastle’s tactic worked perfectly. Vermaelen gave the ball away, and Newcastle players poured forward, outnumbering Arsenal’s defenders. Ben Arfa then showed sublime skill to finish off the move.

But we didn’t let them settle, RvP having equalized only 1.5 replays later. And from then on, our quality showed. We absolutely dominated in every respect. And this is the problem with trying to match Arsenal in midfield, we will always get the better of you, and the chances will come. Arteta was, once again, unfazed by Newcastle’s heavy pressing, and finished with a 94% passing accuracy, having completed 84 out of 89 passes, creating 4 chances in the process.

Our other dominant player on the night was Theo Walcott. Everything we did in the first half went down our right side. Newcastle’s pressing meant our short passing approach didn’t always work, and with them pushing higher, they left space in behind. So Theo was our out ball in the first half. Everyone looked for him, trying to exploit his pace against Newcastle’s relatively high line.

This is why Theo will always be such a key player for us, especially in big games. If teams do try to press us and squeeze play, they have to contend with Theo’s speed on the break. Would we have beaten Barcelona without him? No. He was the key reason why, despite our passing game not flowing, we remained a threat in the first half. And it was no surprise it was him who got the assist for Robin’s goal. His stats were just as impressive as Arteta’s. 1 assist (should be 2, really), 6 chances created, 24/29 passes completed in the final third. Man of the match.

In the second half Newcastle dropped deeper, and midway through they reverted to more of the 442 counter attacking approach. They sat deeper and deeper, wasted time more and more frequently. They were playing for a draw and, frankly, they couldn’t be blamed, such was our dominance.

We ended up getting a well deserved win. We had 23 shots to their 4. Alan Pardew’s suggestion that they deserved something from the match couldn’t have been more delusional.

Sure, Newcastle worked very hard and fought til the very end for that point. But hard work and fight only overcomes talent if the other team doesn’t show the same desire. Arsenal did. We really, really wanted those 3 points, and worked our socks off to get them.

 

Arsenal – Newcastle: Routine Home Win

So this is what I’m seeing: Szcz thumps the ball forward to no one in particular as he always does, and surprisingly, RvP wins the ball in the air. It falls to Rosicky who controls it with one deft touch. The little mozart is oozing confidence. A man dressed as a zebra tries to close him down, but he easily turns him, runs with the ball. RvP, Theo, and Gervinho run ahead of him. Rosicky slows down to survey his options, or so it appears. In actuality he has seen, with the eyes in the back of his head, Song making a dashing run from midfield. Rosicky dallies on the ball, pretends to have a cup of tea at the edge of the box, and as soon as Song flies past him he releases the ball past the static line of zebras. Song is clean through, the flag stays down, and he side foots the ball into the far corner. A finish RvP would be proud of.

I have a strong feeling we will win this game. This should be a routine win. Newcastle are mediocre away from home. Arsenal are imperious at the Emirates. Spurs, the team that can’t stop losing, beat this lot 5-0, so what chance do they have against us?

So yes, I am confident.

Newcastle have some quality players in the side this season, but they can’t match us pass for pass. We will most certainly outplay them. Where they have caused trouble to the big teams has been through direct football, using their physicality to good effect.

Demba Ba and Cabaye have been in their best players. And they have been just as good away from home as they have been at St. James’s. If we can dominate possession, which we probably will, that reduces their threat massively. Their main threat will be set pieces and if we can concentrate and be well organized, we should be able to get the win.

Newcastle don’t really have a very solid back line, and I expect them to struggle against our three striker, especially RvP, for obvious reasons. If we can pass the ball well, keep a healthy supply going to our forwards, they will get chances and Theo and Gervinho will miss a few, but RvP should take them.

But what’s great about our side at the moment, especially at home, is that the threat is coming from everywhere. Against Tottenham it was Sagna who started the scoring. Rosicky got the crucial third. Literally whole team scored against Blackburn. And against Milan Rosicky and Koscielny got on the scoresheet.

We’re not so much a one man team anymore, and a bit more difficult to defend against. Assuming, of course, that our excellent form recently continues.

Don’t know what else to say about Newcastle. It will all depend on how they line up. Pardew said before the game that they had no chance of beating Arsenal, and that they would be happy to finish in the top 8 this season. Was he just being honest, or is he trying to take the pressure off a team that hasn’t won in their last 3 games? Hmm.

If it’s the former, if he is being honest and thinks they have no chance, then expect them to park the bus and play for the 0-0. I wouldn’t like to see that, to be honest. But maybe that isn’t such a bad thing, because Newcastle don’t really have the players to play that way.

If it’s the latter, and Pardew has a sneaky little plan to press us high up and try to play on the front foot, then it would be a lot more interesting. They really haven’t got anything to lose, so they might just go all out for it.

But either way, The Arsenal should be too good for them on this occasion.